Issue 25120 football victory lottery, Manchester United secures first win, Crystal Palace steady, Real Madrid worry-free, Como dark horse

1 Crystal PalaceVSNottingham

The home side held Chelsea to a draw in the opener, demonstrating a more refined approach, and Zaha’s solo capabilities are outstanding. The visitors, although reinforced during the summer, have not notably enhanced their overall strength. Additionally, strained relations between the manager and owner might impact player morale, even though they won 3-0 against Brentford in round one.

The data gives slight support to the home team, but the strength of this support is minimal; I favor the home side.

Draw first, home win second

2 EvertonVSBrighton

The home team was caught off guard by promoted Leeds United in the first round; if they don't get their act together this year, survival in the Premier League will be tough. The visitors drew with Fulham, a mid-level team, showing less intensity than last season’s start, but their overall style remains intact.

The data favors the away team, but this support is quite limited. Given their ability, the odds should be better than just draw/half.

Away win first, home win second

3 FulhamVSManchester United

The home team drew with Brighton in the opener and was competitive throughout the match, showing good form. The visitors have improved significantly compared to last season after summer adjustments. Their attacking trio hasn't yet hit ideal form, but the overall fighting spirit is much better, despite a 0-1 loss to Arsenal in the first game.

The data supports the away team, though this support is actually unfriendly to them, reflecting low confidence. However, this might help cool down expectations for the visitors.

Away win

4 MainzVSCologne

The two teams are quite evenly matched. The home team surprisingly lost 1-2 to Rosenborg in midweek Europa League, indicating defensive issues. The visitors have shown better form from friendlies to the German Cup, especially defensively.

The data supports the home team, but this support seems somewhat forced.

Home win first, away win second

5 Borussia MönchengladbachVSHamburg

The home team is stronger than the visitors. From friendlies and the German Cup first match, the home side appears earlier and in better shape. The visitors have been in the second division for a while and may need time to adapt to Bundesliga pace.

The data supports the home team; naturally, the first home game offers a better chance to win.

Home win

6 CagliariVSFiorentina

The two teams are not on the same level. From friendlies to Coppa Italia matches, their performances show a big gap. The data supports the away team, but this support is very limited and does not reflect the real strength difference, showing considerable caution towards the visitors.

Away win first, draw second

7 ComoVSLazio

The home team strengthened during the summer and showed strong performance in friendlies, making this season promising. The visitors have not improved much, and their preseason form is less impressive than expected.

The data shows no clear bias, which ironically raises expectations for the home team, indirectly supporting them. The visitors, as a traditional strong team, should not be underestimated in their first game.

Home win first, away win second

8 AtalantaVSPisa

There is a big gap between the two teams. Being a newly promoted side, Pisa still needs some time to adjust.

Home win

9 JuventusVSParma

The data supports the home team, but Juventus’ inconsistency remains a concern.

Home win first, draw second

10 OsasunaVSValencia

The home team narrowly lost 0-1 to Real Madrid, conceding only once despite Madrid’s heavy attack, showing strong defense. The visitors drew 1-1 with Real Sociedad and managed to compete offensively, indicating improvement from last season.

The data favors the home team, but the strength of this support is limited. Past encounters show the home side isn’t guaranteed a win.

Draw first, home win second

11 Real SociedadVSEspanyol

The home team drew 1-1 with Valencia in the opener, with attacking power dropping compared to previous seasons. The visitors impressed by scoring a last-minute winner against Atletico Madrid, and their defensive performance was remarkable.

The data supports the home team, but this seems to overestimate their form based on the first match.

Home win first, away win second

12 VillarrealVSGirona

The home team defeated a promoted side in their first game, showing good form. The visitors lost 1-3 at home to Rayo Vallecano, revealing defensive weaknesses. The data strongly supports the home team.

Home win

13 OviedoVSReal Madrid

Away win

14 LilleVSMonaco

The home team drew 3-3 with Brest, showing decent offense but weak defense. The visitors won 3-1 against Le Havre in their opener, maintaining good form.

The data supports the away team, but the strength of this support is not significant.

Draw first, away win second