Prediction and odds analysis for Lens vs Brest at 2:45 AM on August 30, Round 3 of Ligue 1

Lens recently secured a 2-1 victory over Le Havre in Ligue 1 on August 24, 2025. Earlier results include a 0-1 defeat to Lyon (August 17, 2025), a 1-1 draw with Toulouse (May 10, 2025), a 2-1 win against Lyon (May 4, 2025), and a 0-4 loss to Auxerre (April 27, 2025). Their last five games show inconsistent form (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), scoring 5 goals and conceding 7. Led by coach Pierre Sage, Lens will depend on Wesley Saïd and Florian Sotoca to make the most of their home advantage.

Brest recently lost 0-2 to Toulouse in Ligue 1 on August 24, 2025. Prior to that, they drew 3-3 with Lille (August 17, 2025), won 1-0 against Montpellier (May 4, 2025), won 2-0 against Lille (May 10, 2025), and lost 1-4 to Marseille (April 27, 2025). Their recent form shows instability (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), with 6 goals scored and 9 conceded. Under coach Eric Roy, Brest will rely on Kamory Doumbia and Ludovic Ajorque to surprise opponents.

The teams have met 5 times recently: Lens won 3, drew 1, and Brest won 1, with an average of 2.4 goals per game. In 3 away matches at Lens, Brest lost twice and drew once. Lens has the home advantage and better head-to-head record, while Brest needs defensive improvements. A balanced match with a likely win for Lens is the reasonable expectation.

Squad status Lens vs Brest

Lens: Jhoanner Chavez (ankle injury), Martin Satriano (leg injury); Jonathan Gradit, Kevin Danso (available).

Brest: Bradley Locko (Achilles tendon injury), Soumaïla Coulibaly (adductor muscle strain), Ibrahim Salah (leg injury); Kamory Doumbia, Ludovic Ajorque (fit).

Expected lineups Lens vs Brest

Lens: Risser - Udol, Sarr, Gradit - Machado, Sylla, Thomasson, Aguilar - Said, Guilavogui, Fofana.

Brest: Majecki - Locko, Le Cardinal, Chardonnet, Lala - Magnetti, Lees-Melou, Doumbia - Balde, Ajorque, Del Castillo.

Lens recent form

24/08/25: Le Havre 1-2 Lens (Ligue 1)

17/08/25: Lens 0-1 Lyon (Ligue 1)

10/05/25: Toulouse 1-1 Lens (Ligue 1)

04/05/25: Lyon 1-2 Lens (Ligue 1)

27/04/25: Auxerre 4-0 Lens (Ligue 1)

Brest recent form

24/08/25: Toulouse 2-0 Brest (Ligue 1)

17/08/25: Brest 3-3 Lille (Ligue 1)

10/05/25: Lille 0-2 Brest (Ligue 1)

04/05/25: Montpellier 0-1 Brest (Ligue 1)

27/04/25: Marseille 4-1 Brest (Ligue 1)

Lens vs Brest head-to-head history

20/04/25: Brest 1-3 Lens (Ligue 1)

25/08/24: Lens 2-0 Brest (Ligue 1)

09/03/24: Lens 1-0 Brest (Ligue 1)

13/08/23: Brest 3-2 Lens (Ligue 1)

05/02/23: Brest 1-1 Lens (Ligue 1)

Lens vs Brest result prediction

Lens, with home advantage and superior head-to-head form, is favored to secure a second win. Brest, despite Doumbia’s sharpness, is hampered by injuries and recent defeat. An exciting match with a narrow win for Lens is the expected outcome.

Predicted score: Lens 2-1 Brest