1 Manchester UnitedVSBurnley
The home side revamped their attack this summer, however, after three games, the expected improvements haven't materialized, with a record of one draw and two defeats. Particularly surprising was their exit from the League Cup at the hands of a League Two club. They have scored 3 and conceded 4 goals, and their defense is still weak.
The visitors are newly promoted and haven’t shown significant improvement overall. In three matches, including two in the League Cup, they have two wins and one loss, suffering a 3-0 defeat away to Tottenham in the first leg but overturning Sunderland at home in the second leg. Their goal difference stands at 4 scored and 4 conceded.
The data strongly favors the home team, which is reasonable given the relative strengths, but considering current form, this support seems weak. The home defense might become the downfall in this match.
First match home win, second match away win
2 SunderlandVSBrentford
As a newly promoted team, the home side has played three matches with one win, one draw, and one loss including cup games, with a goal difference of 4 scored and 3 conceded. Their opening match caught West Ham off guard, proving West Ham’s poor form this season. The second match was a 2-0 away loss to fellow promoted Burnley, showing some inconsistency in form.
The visitors have played three matches with two wins and one loss, including cup games, with a league record of one win and one loss. They secured a home victory against Aston Villa and are in good form, though their initial 3-0 loss to Nottingham Forest was unexpected. However, post-match stats show they were not particularly outplayed. Their goal difference is 4 scored and 3 conceded.
The data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the established visitors. For the home team to stay in the Premier League, they must capitalize on their home advantage. Such teams usually play very bravely at home.
First match away win, second match draw
3 TottenhamVSBournemouth
The home team let go of Son Heung-min this season, but their attacking ability has not declined; in fact, their style appears more reasonable and organized. After two league matches, they have perfect records with two wins, five goals scored, and zero conceded. Their offense and defense are outstanding, especially the second match against Manchester City.
The visitors, after a standout last season, have been less impressive in their first two games, recording one win and one loss. They lost 2-4 to Liverpool in the opener but won 1-0 at home against Wolves in the second match. Their goal difference is 3 scored and 4 conceded.
The data supports the home team with considerable strength. Based on current form, the home side appears more confident, as their attack and defense are far superior to the visitors.
Home win
4 WolvesVSEverton
Both teams are roughly equal in strength. The home side lost both league matches, performing poorly: a 4-0 loss to Manchester City and a narrow 1-0 away defeat to Bournemouth. Their goal difference is 0 scored and 5 conceded, showing major issues in attack and defense.
The visitors have one win and one loss: a 0-1 defeat to Leeds and a 2-0 home victory over Brighton, showing improving form. Their goal difference is 2 scored and 1 conceded.
The data does not show a clear preference. Considering current form, the home team is at a disadvantage, but with the league just starting and facing a similarly strong opponent at home, a poor result would be hard to justify.
First match draw, second match home win
5 LeedsVSNewcastle
The home team is newly promoted but has not markedly improved overall. In the first two matches, they have one win and one loss: a narrow win over Everton and a heavy 5-0 away defeat to Arsenal, with a goal difference of 1 scored and 5 conceded.
The visitors have yet to meet expectations in two league matches, with one draw and one loss and no wins. Their opponents have been strong: a draw with Aston Villa and a narrow 2-3 defeat to Liverpool. Their goal difference is 2 scored and 3 conceded. Post-match stats show they dominated the first game against Villa and had nearly equal shot opportunities despite lower possession against Liverpool, indicating effective counterattacks.
The data slightly favors the visitors, but this support is limited and might actually help cool down the visitors’ momentum.
Away win
6 HoffenheimVSFrankfurt
The home team impressed by defeating last season’s strong performer Leverkusen 2-1 away in their opener, and followed that with a 4-0 away cup win over Rostock, showing excellent form.
The visitors also started strong, winning their first home match 4-1 against Bremen and showing strong attacking power in the cup, although against weaker opposition.
The data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the visitors. Both teams have been impressive, with the home team’s performance appearing more substantial. Both sides have strong attacking capabilities.
First match away win, second match home win
7 LeipzigVSHaideng
The home team suffered a disastrous 0-6 away defeat in their opener, indicating they may not be ready for the new season. However, post-match stats show they had nearly 40% possession and a good number of shots, suggesting efficient offense but poor finishing.
The visitors lost their first match 1-3 at home to Wolfsburg. According to post-match data, their overall strength remains limited. Facing the more potent Leipzig attack away, prospects look bleak.
The data strongly supports the home team. If they maintain the right mindset, securing their first home win should be achievable.
Home win
8 Stuttgart VS Monchengladbach
Overall, the home team is stronger than the visitors. However, they lost their first league match 1-2 to Union Berlin despite dominating the stats, mainly due to poor finishing. In the second-round cup match against Braunschweig, they drew 3-3, showing offensive improvement but defensive fragility.
The visitors drew 0-0 against newly promoted Hamburg in their league opener, performing well according to stats. In the cup, they scored more but conceded two goals, showing defensive weaknesses.
The data strongly supports the home team, but given both sides’ initial form, caution is advised.
First match home win, second match draw
9 BremenVSLeverkusen
The home team was heavily defeated 1-4 away by Frankfurt in their opener and lost 0-1 to Bielefeld in the cup, highlighting poor offense and unstable defense.
The visitors surprisingly lost their first match 1-2 to Hoffenheim. Their defense has clearly declined since last season due to losing key players, making a drop-off inevitable.
The data slightly favors the visitors, reflecting their true strength and tempering expectations.
Away win
10 AugsburgVSBayern Munich
The home team has impressed since the season started, winning their cup match 2-0 comfortably against a weak opponent and beating Freiburg 3-1 in the league opener, who performed well last season.
The visitors crushed Red Bull 6-0 in their league opener, showcasing terrifying attacking power, boosted by the addition of Diaz, a talented left winger Liverpool surprisingly let go. However, they narrowly won 3-2 in the cup with a heavily rotated defense, which showed some instability and revealed the substitutes’ weaknesses.
The data gives absolute support to the visitors.
Away win
11 BolognaVSComo
The home team narrowly lost 0-1 to Roma in their opener, with balanced stats. The visitors notably beat Lazio 2-0 in their first match, dominating the game and showing great confidence.
The data slightly favors the home team, but not strongly, indicating the visitors inspire more confidence. The odds do not fully support either side, which invites some doubt.
First match home win, second match away win
12 AlavesVSAtletico Madrid
The home team has one win and one loss in two league matches: a 2-1 win over a promoted team and a narrow 0-1 loss to Betis.
The visitors have been puzzling, with one draw and one loss: a 1-2 away defeat to Espanyol and a 1-1 home draw with Elche. Coach Simeone must be frustrated, as despite dominating, their forwards have been ineffective.
The data strongly supports the visitors, which is justified by their strength, but their form over two rounds seems somewhat excessive.
First match away win, second match home win
13 GironaVSSevilla
Overall, the home team is slightly stronger, but they lost both their first two league matches, conceding 8 goals while scoring just 1, against teams that are not the strongest in the league, showing poor offense and defense.
The visitors also lost their first two league matches, with a goal difference of 3 scored and 5 conceded. Their attack and defense are somewhat better, facing relatively stronger opponents.
The data shows no clear bias.
Draw
14 Real MadridVSMallorca
Home win