Issue 25133 football victory lottery, Stuttgart is no longer the same, Lyon defends home ground, Porto should be cautious

1. Mieborg VS Sibro

The home team’s overall strength surpasses that of the away team, currently holding first place, with four wins and one draw in five games, scoring 9 and conceding 3, excelling in both offense and defense, showing an almost flawless performance.

The away team ranks fifth, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in five matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Although their offense and defense are weaker than the home team’s, their overall performance remains decent.

The data favors the home team, but the level of support is not high considering the current form and strength, so it is not particularly favorable for the home team.

First home win, second draw

2StuttgartVSSt. Pauli

The home team’s overall strength is above the away team’s, currently ranked twelfth, with one win and two losses in the last three league matches, only beating Monchengladbach at home, scoring 3 and conceding 5, with neither attack nor defense standing out.

Although the away team’s strength is weaker, they rank fourth, with two wins and one draw in three league matches, remaining unbeaten, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their offense and defense are good, especially their attack, having drawn 3-3 with Dortmund and recently beating a strong Augsburg 2-1 at home. The whole team is currently in great form and confidence is high.

The data supports the home team with a significant margin, clearly overlooking the away team’s excellent performance and strong attacking ability.

First home win, second away win

3BielefeldVSFürth

As a newly promoted team, the home side has three wins, one draw, and one loss in five league matches, performing quite well, currently third in the league, scoring 11 and conceding 4, with solid offense and defense, especially considering their opponents were Düsseldorf, Kiel, and Magdeburg.

The away team ranks thirteenth, with two wins and three losses in five league games, performing mediocrely, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Their offense is fine, but defense is quite poor.

The data supports the home team, but the strength of this support is limited. Given both teams’ current form, this is reasonable because the home team’s overall strength is limited, and historically, the home team has often only managed draws against this opponent at home. This match will be a tough battle.

First home win, second draw

4KaiserslauternVSMünster

The home team is ranked sixth, with three wins and two losses in five league matches. Both losses were away, showing solid home performance, scoring 8 and conceding 4, with a defense that cannot be overlooked.

The away team ranks ninth, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in five matches. Their away performance is average, scoring 8 and conceding 8, with a weaker defense.

The data supports the home team, but the strength of this support is not large. Clearly, the home team’s advantage at home is more significant.

Home win

5 LecceVSCagliari

The home team ranks at the bottom, with one draw and two losses in three matches played, scoring 1 and conceding 6. Two losses came against AC Milan and Atalanta, so the defeats are understandable. However, their attacking ability is indeed weak.

The away team ranks eighth, with one win, one draw, and one loss in three matches. The loss was away against Napoli. They have scored 1 and conceded 6.

The data shows no clear bias. Considering both sides’ offense and defense, both have weak attacking power and poor defense, making it difficult to predict a clear favorite.

Draw

6Real BetisVSReal Sociedad

The home team is in tenth place, with one win, three draws, and one loss after five matches. Too many draws have hurt their ranking. Their opponents are generally average. They have scored 6 and conceded 6, with attack and defense somewhat weaker than last season.

The away team ranks seventeenth, much weaker than before, with two draws and two losses in four matches, no wins yet, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Both their offense and defense are poor.

The data gives slight support to the home team, but given both teams’ current form, this support is weak.

First draw, second home win

7LyonVSAngers

The home team’s overall strength is much greater than the away team’s. After four matches, they have three wins and one loss, with the only defeat coming recently against a strong Rennes side. They have scored 6 and conceded 3, showing strong home performance.

The away team ranks twelfth, with one win, two draws, and one loss in four matches. They narrowly lost 1-0 to PSG and have scored 3 and conceded 3. Their offense is limited but defense is solid.

The data strongly supports the home team, and this level of support is reasonable given both teams’ current form and strength.

Home win

8NancyVSRed Star

The home team’s overall strength is considerably weaker than the away team’s. After five rounds, they have two wins, two draws, and one loss, with home record of one win and one draw, scoring and conceding 6 goals. Their performance is decent, but their opponents are not very strong, so the results lack weight.

The away team ranks second, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in five matches, performing well, especially away with two wins and one draw, showing strong away capability. They have scored 10 and conceded 4, with good offense and defense.

The data shows no obvious bias but slightly favors the home team. However, based on the current performance of the home side, this support seems somewhat unjustified.

First home win, second away win

9BoulogneVSPFC

The home team ranks seventeenth, with one win and four losses in five league matches, performing poorly, scoring 3 and conceding 6, with weak offense and defense. Many losses were by a single goal.

The away team ranks fourth, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in five matches. Both away matches ended in draws, showing average away ability. Overall performance is good, scoring 7 and conceding 6. While defense is somewhat lacking, their offense is quite strong. Their opponents are generally stronger than those of the home team, giving their results more credibility.

The data shows no clear bias but gives slight support to the home team. However, this support lacks convincing strength. Strange, better to follow the manager’s lead.

First draw, second home win

10GrenobleVSAnnecy

The home team ranks thirteenth, with one win, two draws, and two losses in five league matches. Recently performing well, drawing away at Saint-Étienne and winning at home against Dunkirk, showing an upward trend in form, scoring 5 and conceding 6.

The away team ranks fifteenth, with one win, two draws, and two losses in five matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6, with weak defense and average away performance.

The data supports the home team, though the strength of this support is limited. The home team’s form is improving.

First home win, second draw

11LavalVSAmiens

The home team ranks eighth, with one win and four draws in five league matches, remaining unbeaten, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their offense is decent but defense slightly unstable.

The away team ranks tenth, with one win, three draws, and one loss in five matches, showing similar performance to the home team, scoring 6 and conceding 5.

The data strongly supports the home team, but given the recent performances of both sides, the gap is not so wide. The support may be somewhat excessive.

Draw

12RodezVSClermont

The home team ranks seventh, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in five league matches, performing well overall, scoring 3 and conceding 5. They suffered a heavy 4-goal loss against the top-ranked team, but their defense remains solid overall. Their home form is good, with no losses in three matches and strong defense.

The away team ranks eleventh, with one win, three draws, and one loss in five matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Two draws were away, showing average away ability. However, their opponents are generally stronger than those faced by the home team, giving their results more weight.

The data supports the home team, but the strength of this support is limited and does not reflect the away team’s stability.

Draw

13RotterdamVSTwente

The home team ranks eighth, with three wins and two losses in five league matches. The two losses were against Eindhoven and Feyenoord, teams much stronger, so the defeats are reasonable. Against mid- and lower-table teams, they remain stable, scoring 7 and conceding 11. The ten goals conceded in the two losses contrast with their solid performance against lesser teams, for whom beating the home team is not easy.

The away team ranks thirteenth, with one win, one draw, and three losses in five matches, performing poorly, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their offense is weak and defense vulnerable. They lost two away games against weaker opponents, showing poor away ability.

The data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the away team, possibly based on historical encounters. However, this reasoning is flawed. I support the home team in this match.

Home win

14Rio AveVSPorto

The home team ranks fifteenth, with four draws and one loss in five league matches. Though their ability to win is weak, defeating them is not easy. They have scored 8 and conceded 10, with fairly good offense but weaker defense.

The away team needs no introduction, undefeated with five wins in five matches, scoring 12 and conceding just 1. The only goal conceded was in a match against Lisbon, which they still won. The two teams are incomparable.

The data strongly supports the away team. Normally this would be fine, but this data is not very favorable to the away side. The home team is very tenacious; last season they managed a draw despite being heavily attacked by the away team.

First away win, second draw