1 Sunderland VS Villa
The home side, being newly promoted, has done very well so far with two wins, one draw, and one loss in four league games, especially winning twice at home with a goal tally of 5/3. Particularly, they drew 0-0 away against Crystal Palace last round, reflecting a practical approach.
The visiting team ranks in the relegation zone, surprisingly so. After four rounds, they have two draws and two losses without a single win, a goal difference of 0/4—alarming indeed. They have failed to score in four matches; is this still the Villa we know?
The data slightly favors the visitors, but the support is very limited. Given both teams’ current offensive capability, it is possible the home team will cause serious trouble for their opponents at home.
First away win, then home win
2 BournemouthVS NewcastleUnited
The home team, with moderate strength, currently sits fourth, showing impressive form with three wins and one loss in four rounds, only losing away to Liverpool in the first round. Since then, they have won three consecutively, boosting confidence. Goal difference is 6/5; although conceding seems high, four goals were all from the first match against Liverpool. Overall, defense is quite solid.
The visitors are tenth with one win, two draws, and one loss after four matches. They have two away draws with no goals scored or conceded, indicating a decline in their away attack. Goal difference is 3/3, showing weak offense but stable defense.
The data shows no clear bias, but judging by current trends, the home side will not let the visitors take points easily. The visitors’ defensive ability must be taken into account.
First draw, then home win
3 ArsenalVSManchester City
The home team strengthened in summer, achieving three wins and one loss in four league games, losing only to Liverpool. Goal difference stands at 9/1, demonstrating strong offense and defense.
The visitors, after summer adjustments, have two wins and two losses in four rounds, ranking eighth with a goal difference of 8/4. They suffered a heavy home defeat to Brighton, revealing defensive problems. However, last round they beat Manchester United 3-0 at home, showing signs of recovery.
The data still favors the home side with considerable strength. Given the shifting strengths, the home team may remain unbeaten.
First home win, then draw
4 FrankfurtVSUnion Berlin
The home team currently ranks fifth, with two wins and one loss in three league rounds. They also had a big win in a midweek Europa League match, boosting confidence but causing fatigue. Goal difference is 8/5; last round they lost 1-3 away to Leverkusen.
The visitors rank fourteenth, with one win and two losses in three league games. Goal difference is 4/8; last round they lost 2-4 at home to Hoffenheim. Defense remains a major issue.
The data supports the home team with significant strength, which is reasonable given both teams’ current form and ability.
Home win
5 LeverkusenVSMonchengladbach
The home team is currently eleventh, quite different from previous seasons. They have one win, one draw, and one loss in three league games, losing to Hoffenheim and drawing with Bremen. Last round they won 3-1 at home against Frankfurt, possibly a turning point signaling a return to form. Goal difference is 7/6, showing defense as a major issue.
The visitors rank sixteenth, with one draw and two losses in three games. Goal difference is 0/5, indicating major problems in both attack and defense, especially given their opponents were not very strong, making their performance even worse.
The data favors the home team with moderate support, possibly considering their midweek Europa League match which might affect fitness.
First home win, then draw
6 DortmundVSWolfsburg
The home team currently ranks second, reminiscent of their past rivalry with Bayern. They drew 4-4 with Juventus in a midweek Europa League match, showing attacking confidence. In three league rounds, they have two wins and one draw with no losses, goal difference 8/3, though opponents were relatively weaker, so quality is moderate.
The visitors are ninth, with one win and two draws in three games, remaining unbeaten. Goal difference is 7/5, but they concede in every match. Last round they drew 3-3 with Cologne, highlighting defensive issues.
The data supports the home team with a reasonable margin.
Home win
7 TorinoVSAtalanta
The home team ranks tenth with one win, one draw, and one loss in three rounds. They are unbeaten in the last two rounds, including a 1-0 away victory over strong Roma. Goal difference is 1/5; they drew with Fiorentina and beat Roma, showing an upward trend.
The visitors rank eighth with one win and two draws, unbeaten but against relatively weaker opponents. Goal difference is 6/3. They lost 0-4 to PSG in a midweek Europa League match. Their defense this season has been quite poor.
The data slightly favors the visitors but with limited strength. Given their current form, this is a fair but not favorable outlook.
First away win, then home win
8 CremoneseVSParma
The home team, newly promoted, has two wins and one draw in three league rounds, undefeated and exceeding expectations. Goal difference is 5/3. Notably, they beat AC Milan 2-1 in the first round, showing good form.
The visitors rank nineteenth with one draw and two losses in three games. Both losses were away matches. Goal difference is 0/4, showing very poor away performance.
The data shows no clear bias. Considering both teams’ form, the visitors have little chance to escape unscathed.
Home win
9 FiorentinaVS Como
The home team ranks sixteenth, with two draws and one loss, winless and in poor form. They drew with Cagliari and Torino, and lost 1-3 at home to Napoli last round. Goal difference is 2/4, showing problems in both attack and defense.
The visitors rank ninth, with one win, one draw, and one loss. They beat Cio 2-0, lost 0-1 to Bologna, and drew 1-1 away with Genoa. Overall, their defense is quite solid with a goal difference of 3-2.
The data is neutral, slightly favoring the home team but without strong backing.
First home win, then away win
10 Inter MilanVSSassuolo
The home team currently ranks eleventh, unimaginable in the past two seasons. Rumors say the club might be sold by the owner, putting it in turmoil. They have one win and two losses in three rounds, but their offensive ability remains evident despite weak defense. Goal difference is 9/6. Their midweek Europa League match showed glimpses of a strong team.
The visitors, newly promoted, have one win and two losses in three rounds. They won at home against Lazio last round. Goal difference is 3/6.
The data gives absolute support to the home team. Regardless of club instability, as long as results come, buyers will appear. Hopefully, the players will keep working hard.
Home win
11 MallorcaVSMallorca
The home team ranks nineteenth with one draw and three losses in four league games, still winless. Goal difference is 4/9, averaging one goal per game, which is not bad, but poor defense is holding them back.
The visitors are not strong this season either, with one win, two draws, and one loss in four rounds. They are unbeaten in the last three rounds, with a goal difference of 5/4. They lost 2-3 away to Liverpool in a midweek Europa League match, but their attack is improving.
The data supports the visitors, though the strength is not large compared to both teams’ levels. This might help the visitors cool down and get back on track.
Away win
12 ElcheVSOviedo
The home team, newly promoted, has one win and three draws in four league games, remaining unbeaten and performing solidly. Their opponents included Betis and Atletico Madrid. Goal difference is 6/4.
The visitors, also newly promoted, have one win and three losses in four games, with a goal difference of 1/7, much worse than the home team.
The data strongly supports the home side, consistent with both teams’ current form.
Home win
13 BarcelonaVSGetafe
Home win
14 MarseilleVSDortmund
The home team’s home ground is tough, while the visitors continue to show their champion form.
The data favors the visitors but not strongly, so caution is advised.
First away win, then draw