Issue 25152 football betting, Chelsea defends home ground, Manchester United beware, Liverpool and Bayern are confident

1 Chelsea vs Sunderland

The home side sits fifth, having played and won a midweek European match, so their stamina likely remains intact. Their league form is unstable, so the extent of the impact is unclear. Over the last six games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses; at home, 2 wins, no draws, 1 loss, with 11 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their overall state is good but somewhat inconsistent. In the last four home matches, they achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with goals for and against at 5/4. Looking closely at opponents, beating Liverpool was tough, but overall the opposition's attacking power is not strong.

The away team, as newly promoted, currently ranks seventh, impressing many established clubs. In the last six matches, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 4 goals. Their overall form is quite good; although their attack is limited, their defense is very solid. However, their opponents have generally been weak, benefiting from a favorable schedule. In the last four away games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 1 and conceding 4, showing clear away performance challenges.

The data strongly favors the home team, so there should be no major issues; however, considering the home team played midweek and their instability, caution is advised.

First choice home win, second choice draw

2 Newcastle vs Fulham

The home team ranks fourteenth, with an overall disappointing performance. They also played a midweek Europa League match, increasing uncertainty. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses; at home, 2 wins, no draws, 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 4 goals. Their offense has been significantly affected this season. At home, they have 2 wins and 2 losses; the two defeats came against Arsenal and Liverpool, showing weakness against strong teams. Goals for and against stand at 6/5.

The away team ranks fifteenth, traditionally a mid-table side. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins, no draws, and 4 losses; away, they have no wins or draws and 3 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 10 goals. Their defense is poor and away performance is very weak. In the last four away matches, they have 1 draw and 3 losses, with no wins in four games, goals for and against at 3/9. Away performance is fragile.

The data supports the home team. Given their current ranking, they must earn sufficient points against weaker teams to improve, so they will not relax in this match.

Home win

3 Manchester United vs Brighton

The home team ranks ninth, which is not ideal but shows upward potential. Recent match outcomes reflect this, with 4 wins, no draws, and 2 losses in the last six games. At home, they have 3 wins and no losses, scoring 10 and conceding 10 goals. Defense remains weak, but the attack is becoming stronger. In the last four home games, they won three and lost one, narrowly losing 0-1 to Liverpool, with goals for and against at 7/3, showing good home strength.

The away team ranks tenth, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches. Away record is 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 8 goals. Their form seems slightly better than the home team, currently on a four-match unbeaten run. They have beaten Chelsea but also drew with Wolves. Away form is unstable, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last four away games, goals for and against at 4/6.

Data supports the home team, but the strength of this support is not enough considering both teams' recent home and away performances. The away team's style is relatively easy to counter the home team, so caution is necessary.

First choice home win, second choice away win

4 Brentford vs Liverpool

The home team ranks thirteenth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six games. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 9 goals. Overall performance is normal. In the last four home matches, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, playing well at home against strong teams like Villa, Chelsea, and Manchester United, only narrowly losing 0-1 to Manchester City. Goals for and against stand at 6/4.

The away team ranks fourth but has faced criticism due to recent consecutive defeats. In the last six matches, they have 3 wins and 3 losses; away, 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 7 goals. They are on a three-game losing streak, showing some passivity in attack and defense. However, their midweek Europa League match saw a 5-1 victory over Frankfurt, which could restore confidence and mark a turning point. In the last four away games, they have 2 wins and 2 losses, with goals for and against at 6/6. Their attack is not heavily impacted, but defense remains weak.

Data favors the away team, but considering the teams' stature, the support is somewhat low. The away team has lost three league games in a row; after three losses, they should bounce back.

Away win

5 Augsburg vs Leipzig

The home team ranks thirteenth, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last six matches. At home, they have 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 13 goals. They are unbeaten in the last two games, showing improved form, but still concede goals and have poor defense. In the last three home matches, they have 1 win and 2 losses, with goals for and against at 6/8. Their attack is decent; this team tends to either win or lose hard.

The away team ranks second and quietly reached the runner-up spot. In the last six matches, they have 5 wins and 1 draw; away, 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 10 and conceding 3 goals. Their attack and defense are both excellent. In the last four away games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with goals for and against at 3/7. Except for a 6-goal concession against Bayern, their defense is solid.

Data supports the away team but the strength is limited. The away team’s away wins are mostly by a single goal, showing difficulty in breaking down defenses on the road.

First choice away win, second choice home win

6 Frankfurt vs St. Pauli

The home team played a midweek European match, suffering a heavy 1-5 defeat to Liverpool, reflecting their level. Currently ranked seventh, their performance is average. In the last six games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses; at home, no wins or draws and 2 losses, scoring 15 and conceding 17 goals. Their attack is decent but defense is poor. In the last three home matches, they have 1 win and 3 losses, with goals for and against at 7/8.

The away team ranks 14th, with 2 wins and 4 losses in the last six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9 goals. Their attack is weak and defense is not good. In the last three away games, they have 1 win and 2 losses, with goals for and against at 2/3.

Data supports the home team with considerable strength, but their defensive problems are a concern and should be noted.

First choice home win, second choice away win

7 Hamburg vs Wolfsburg

The home team was not favored at season start, seen as just getting by, but now ranks 11th, which is quite good. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses; at home, 2 wins and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 10 goals. In the last three home games, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, with goals for and against at 6/3. Their home form is good as they adapt to the Bundesliga.

The away team is struggling, ranked 15th, just one point above relegation. In the last six matches, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses; away, no wins or draws and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 12 goals. They are on a four-game losing streak, with unbalanced attack and defense. Their opponents have been relatively strong. In the last four away games, they have 2 draws and 2 losses, with goals for and against at 4/8.

The data does not clearly favor either side but slightly leans towards the home team. This team is usually tough at home, with strong fan support, which provides motivation.

Home win

8 Monchengladbach vs Bayern

Previously, the home team was seen as a stepping stone for Bayern, but now they get beaten every time they meet, mainly because the away team’s attack and defense have greatly improved this season.

Away win

9 Dortmund vs Cologne

The home team played a midweek Europa League match and appears somewhat fatigued, having conceded two goals and showing defensive instability. They currently rank fourth, a precarious position that requires maintaining advantage. In the last six matches, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 3 goals. Their overall form looks good. In the last three home games, they have 2 wins and 1 draw, with goals for and against at 5/1, showing strong home form.

The away team currently ranks sixth, with an impressive record. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 10 goals. Their attack is quite good but defense is somewhat lacking. The two losses were against strong opponents. In three away games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, only losing to Leipzig, with goals for and against at 6/6.

Data naturally gives strong support to the home team, but this strength somewhat overlooks the away team’s attacking ability.

First choice home win, second choice draw

10 Napoli vs Inter Milan

The home team played a midweek Europa League match but was overwhelmed by Eintracht Frankfurt, which is hard to imagine for a third-ranked Serie A team. In the last six matches, they have 4 wins and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 7 goals. The two losses were away games, including a recent defeat to Torino, which was disappointing. They have won all three recent home games, scoring 6 and conceding 3, but the opponents were weaker, so the quality is questionable.

The away team also played a midweek Europa League match against a weaker opponent, so the impact is minimal. They currently rank second, with 4 wins and 2 losses in the last six matches. They are on a four-game winning streak, performing well, scoring 13 and conceding 8 goals. In the last three away games, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, losing 3-4 to Juventus but still showing strong attack, with goals for and against at 6/4.

The data shows no clear bias but slightly supports the away team. Considering the current morale of both teams, the home team seems inferior. The away team’s Europa League opponent was weaker, so their fatigue is less.

Away win

11 Cremonese vs Atalanta

The home team ranks tenth, and given their current squad, their performance is quite commendable. In the last six matches, they have 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss, only losing away to Inter Milan. Overall, the opposition strength is not high, and their current results are not exceptional. Goals for and against stand at 6/8. Aside from conceding four goals to Inter, their defense is generally solid.

The away team played a midweek Champions League match but failed to overcome their opponent. They currently rank eighth, which is below expectations. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins and 4 draws, with no losses, but issues in both attack and defense remain. Goals for and against are 10/4. Many matches were decided by a single goal, indicating danger. In the last three away games, they have 1 win and 2 draws, scoring 5 and conceding 2, showing decent away form.

Data naturally favors the away team strongly, but this does not consider the home team’s decent attacking problem nor the fatigue from the away team’s multiple competitions, so an upset is possible.

First choice away win, second choice home win

12 Espanyol vs Elche

The home team’s performance this season has been impressive, currently ranking sixth. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring and conceding 8 goals each. Their recent form lacks stability; wins and draws mainly came against weaker teams, so the quality is lacking. In the last five home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, showing solid home strength, with goals for and against at 9/7. Their attack is good but defense has issues.

The away team ranks seventh, an impressive showing for a newly promoted side. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring and conceding 7 goals each. In the last four away games, they have 3 draws and 1 loss, showing weak away ability but are hard to beat, with goals for and against at 5/7.

Data favors the home team. Based on both teams’ strength, this may be slightly excessive, but considering form and attack-defense, the home team has the edge.

First choice home win, second choice draw

13 Bilbao vs Getafe

The home team played and won a midweek European match, boosting morale. They currently rank eighth. In the last six matches, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 6 goals, showing poor form. In the last five home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with home strength still present but form slightly declining. Goals for and against are 7/8.

The away team ranks twelfth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last six matches. Their single win and two draws were at home, with goals for and against at 5/8. Their attack and defense are weak. In the last five away games, they have 2 wins and 3 losses, currently on a three-game losing streak away, with goals for and against at 5/9.

Data strongly supports the home team, but this does not fully consider the home team’s recent poor attacking form.

First choice home win, second choice draw

14 Valencia vs Villarreal

The home team ranks fourteenth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last six matches, scoring 6 and conceding 12 goals, showing poor form. They lost heavily to Barcelona and surprisingly to newly promoted Oviedo. In the last four home games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with good home performance, scoring 7 and conceding 3.

The away team played a midweek Europa League match, losing 0-2 to Manchester City, which is understandable. They currently rank third in the league, performing well. In the last six matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 9 goals. In the last four away games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses; the two losses were against strong teams, so they are reasonable. Goals for and against are 4/7, conceding 4 goals in those two defeats.

Data favors the away team but very slightly, which is insufficient given the rankings. The away team’s recent form is worse than the home team’s. If the away team cannot cope with multi-competition pressure, it will be even harder later.

First choice away win, second choice home win