Issue 25175 Football Win-Loss Fourteen Matches, Manchester City and Bayern Secure, Sunderland Continues to Struggle, Bilbao Worries

1 Brentford VS Burnley

The home side is ranked thirteenth in the league, with a recent record of 3 wins, no draws, and 3 losses in six matches. Their home record is 2 wins, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 8 goals. Over the last six home games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 7. These six opponents are nearly all considered strong Premier League teams, indicating solid quality and formidable home strength.

The away team ranks nineteenth and is almost certain to be relegated this season. Their last six matches include 2 wins and 4 losses, with an away record of 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 11 goals. Although they have attacking capabilities, their defense is weak. The two victories came against relatively poor Premier League teams, which lacks convincing strength. In the last six away matches, they have 1 win, no draws, and 5 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 18 goals, with defense being a major weakness.

The data strongly favors the home team, with a support level exceeding a typical strong-versus-weak comparison, which might be somewhat excessive.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw

2 Manchester City VS Leeds

The home team lost away to Newcastle last round and also suffered a defeat in midweek European competition, but many substitutes were fielded and received criticism. Their last six matches show 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses; at home, 3 wins, no draws, no losses, scoring 10 and conceding 4 goals. Both losses were away. In the last six home games, they have 5 wins, no draws, and 1 loss, scoring 16 and conceding 4, proving reliable home strength.

The away team ranks eighteenth, with a recent record of 1 win and 5 losses, and an away record of 0 wins, no draws, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 13 goals. Their offense and defense are both weak. In the last six away matches, they have 1 win, no draws, and 5 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 15 goals, with only a win against a struggling Wolves team.

The data gives the home team very strong support; given the current situation, the home side winning is highly likely.

Home win

3 Sunderland VS Bournemouth

The home team ranks seventh, a clear dark horse. Their last six matches include 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses; at home, 1 win, 2 draws, no losses, scoring 7 and conceding 7 goals. The two losses occurred away against Chelsea and Arsenal, who gained no advantage. In the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 3 draws, and no losses, scoring 11 and conceding 5, demonstrating very strong home capability.

The away team ranks eighth, with a recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses; away, 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 13 goals. Their attack is decent but defense is weaker than the home team. In the last six away matches, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 16, showing weak away performance.

The data slightly supports the away team, but the strength is limited. Considering recent form, both sides are similar, yet the away team is inferior in home and away capabilities.

Primary pick: draw; secondary pick: home win

4 Everton VS Newcastle

The home team defeated Manchester United away last weekend, ranked eleventh, and morale is high. Their recent six matches show 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses; at home, 2 wins, no draws, 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 7 goals. Their offense is insufficient, allowing losses to strong teams but consistently gaining points against mid-to-lower-tier teams, showing good strategy. In the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 5, making home matches promising.

The away team recently beat Manchester City but was eliminated in midweek Champions League. They rank with 3 wins, no draws, and 3 losses; away, no wins, no draws, and 3 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 10 goals, with some defensive issues. In the last six away games, they have no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 8, showing limited away strength.

The data shows no clear bias, but considering both teams’ home and away abilities and the away team's midweek Champions League fatigue, the home team is more reliable.

Primary pick: draw; secondary pick: home win

5 Tottenham VS Fulham

The home team ranks ninth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six rounds; at home, no wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 10 goals. Their recent three matches were below par, and they lost a midweek European match to PSG. In the last six home matches, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 7, showing average performance. However, the three losses were against strong opponents, and they remain stable against mid-to-lower teams.

The away team ranks fifteenth, with 2 wins and 4 losses in the last six matches; away, no wins, no draws, and 3 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 8 goals. Both wins were at home. In the last six away games, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 13, showing very weak away strength.

The data supports the home team, though the strength is moderate and might help cool down the home side.

Home win

6 Bayern VS St. Pauli

Home win

7 Hoffenheim VS Augsburg

The home team ranks seventh and has performed very well recently, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last six matches; at home, 2 wins, no draws, 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 6 goals. They are unbeaten in the last five games. However, their last five home matches show 2 wins and 3 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 10, indicating limited home strength. The team started slowly but is improving as the season progresses.

The away team ranks thirteenth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six matches; away, no wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 12 goals. They started well but have declined as the season progressed. In the last six away games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 9.

The data supports the home team. While home and away strengths are similar, recent form shows a clear difference, including a loss to Leipzig.

Home win

8 Bremen VS Cologne

The home team ranks ninth, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches; at home, 3 wins, no draws, no losses, scoring 7 and conceding 6 goals. Their only recent home loss was to Leipzig, but overall, their defense is quite solid. In the last five home matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 7, maintaining reasonable home strength.

The away team ranks tenth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six games; away, 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 10 goals. Their form has declined as the season progressed. In the last six away matches, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their attacking ability is similar to the home team but defense is weaker.

The data shows no clear bias, but considering recent form and home/away capabilities, the home team holds an advantage, though the away team’s attack should not be underestimated.

Primary pick: draw; secondary pick: home win

9 Berlin Union VS Heidenheim

The home team ranks eighth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; at home, 1 win, 2 draws, and no losses, scoring 6 and conceding 6 goals. Their overall performance is average, but their defense is solid. In the last six home games, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Teams like Stuttgart and Bayern have not had an easy time against them, showing decent home strength.

The away team is bottom of the league, with no wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in the last six matches; away, no wins, no draws, and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 16 goals, performing very poorly. The two draws were at home. In the last five away games, they have no wins, no draws, and 5 losses, scoring 2 and conceding 14.

The data strongly supports the home team, which is understandable given recent performances. However, historical head-to-heads show the home team has not dominated, so this support might be somewhat insufficient.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw

10 Leverkusen VS Dortmund

Both teams face multiple competitions challenges. The home team ranks third and recently won a midweek away European match 2-0 against Manchester City, showing good form. Their last six matches include 5 wins and 1 loss; at home, 3 wins, no draws, no losses, scoring 17 and conceding 7, with outstanding offensive performance. In six home games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 15 and conceding 4, with the single loss in the opening round, indicating stable home form.

The away team ranks fourth, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches; away, 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 7 goals. Too many draws have affected their ranking, possibly due to player fatigue. In the last six away games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 6, showing they can hold draws against teams like St. Pauli and Hamburg on the road.

The data shows no clear bias, but considering recent form and home/away strengths, the home team with stronger attack may have the edge.

Home win

11 Juventus VS Cagliari

The home team ranks seventh, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 6 and conceding 6 goals. In the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 3 draws, and no losses, scoring 10 and conceding 5, showing solid home strength.

The away team ranks fourteenth, with no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in the last six matches; away, no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 11 goals. Their recent form is poor, with weak defense. In the last six away matches, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 7, showing average away performance.

The data strongly supports the home team, which might be excessive given the home team’s recent form is not very optimistic and they played a midweek European match, so fatigue is expected.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw

12 AC Milan VS Lazio

The home team is solidly second in the league, with 3 wins and 3 draws in the last six matches; at home, 2 wins, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 9 and conceding 6 goals. Their recent form is quite good, especially after winning the recent city derby against Inter Milan, boosting confidence. In the last six home games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 6, maintaining a strong home presence with five consecutive unbeaten matches.

The away team started the season disappointingly and currently ranks eighth. Their form has improved as the season progresses, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches; away, no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 2 goals. Overall looks decent, but the two draws and one loss were away matches. In the last six away games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 5.

The data strongly favors the home team, which would have been unimaginable in past seasons. However, the away team’s defense remains solid despite limited attacking strength, making this data somewhat excessive.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: draw

13 Barcelona VS Alavés

The home team ranks second, just one point behind Real Madrid. They suffered a heavy defeat in a midweek European match against Chelsea, lowering morale, but returning home to face a newly promoted team gives them no excuse not to win. They have yet to draw at home this season.

Home win

14 Levante VS Bilbao

The home team ranks second to last, performing very poorly, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last six matches; at home, no wins, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 10 goals. The single win and draw were away matches. In the last five home games, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 14, with poor defense.

The away team ranks eighth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six matches; away, no wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9 goals. Both wins were at home, and their offense and defense are mediocre. In the last six away games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 11, reflecting average attack and defense.

The data supports the away team, which is understandable given their relative strength. However, considering recent form and home/away abilities, this support seems somewhat forced, while the home team is desperate to avoid relegation and will fight hard.

Primary pick: away win; secondary pick: home win