1 Seoul VS Melbourne
The home team is much stronger than the visiting team, and their performances are basically similar, with close offensive and defensive capabilities.
Overall, the away team tends to struggle against technical teams, and the styles of play from both sides seem somewhat alike.
The data favors the home team with considerable strength, but the visitors have their own advantages that are not easy to handle.
Seoul home win, secondary draw.
2 Qarabağ VS Ajax
The home team has impressed in the Champions League, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in five matches. Both losses were away games; the home performance is strong, scoring 8 and conceding 9.
The visitors have struggled in the Champions League, with zero wins, zero draws, and five losses in five matches. Away record is zero wins, zero draws, two losses, scoring 1 and conceding 16, which is extremely abnormal.
The data supports the home team, which would have been unimaginable before, but the strength difference objectively exists. What if the visitors take a serious attitude?
Qarabağ home win, secondary away win.
3 Villarreal VS Copenhagen
The home team is stronger than the visitors but has a poor Champions League record: zero wins, one draw, four losses in five matches; home record zero wins, one draw, one loss; scoring 2 and conceding 10. Except for Pafos, other teams are relatively strong. I prefer to believe the tough schedule is to blame.
The visitors have one win, one draw, and three losses in five European matches, with 7 goals scored and 14 conceded. They lost both away games.
The data supports the home team. I trust the home side, familiar with the Champions League pace, can turn things around starting this match. Otherwise, I suspect they are not very keen on the Champions League, especially since they are already third in the league.
Home win.

4 Benfica VS Napoli
The home team has two wins and three losses in five Champions League matches. The two wins were against Fenerbahçe and Ajax, teams not very strong, so the quality is insufficient. Goals scored/conceded: 4/8.
The visitors have two wins, one draw, and two losses in five matches. Both losses were away, including a 6-2 defeat to a much weaker Eintracht, which is hard to understand. Goals scored/conceded: 6/9.
The data slightly favors the home team, but the visitors still have decent attacking ability.
Benfica home win, secondary away win.
5 Bilbao VS Dortmund
Away win.
6 Brugge VS Arsenal
There is a big gap in strength between the two teams. The home side has one win, one draw, and three losses in five Champions League matches, with wins and draws at home. Drawing with Barcelona at home is not easy. Goals scored/conceded: 8/13.
The visitors have four wins and one loss in five matches, scoring 14 and conceding only 1. Their performance is outstanding and stable in every aspect.
The data strongly supports the visitors, though personally I feel this support is still insufficient. Considering the home team's home performance, caution may be necessary.
Primary away win, secondary draw.

7 Dortmund VS Bodø/Glimt
The home team always gives their all in the Champions League, and luckily this time they face a not-so-strong Bodø/Glimt at home. Although the visitors once held Tottenham to a draw at home, Tottenham was unstable and cannot be compared to the home team.
The data strongly supports the home team with firm backing.
Home win.
8 Juventus VS Pafos
The home team’s current priority might be securing next season’s Champions League qualification. They have one win, three draws, and one loss in five matches, scoring and conceding 10 goals, showing some defensive issues.
The visitors have one win, three draws, and one loss as well, but against weaker opponents, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their attack is weak, and defense average.
The data gives absolute support to the home team, but given their nature, nothing is guaranteed.
Primary home win, secondary draw.
9 Leverkusen VS Newcastle
The home team lost 0-2 away to Augsburg in the last league round, possibly resting players for this match. They have two wins, two draws, and one loss in five European matches, with recent victories. Goals scored/conceded: 8/10. Overall, it’s hard for them to progress far in Europe.
The visitors have three wins and two losses in five European matches, with one win and one loss away, scoring 11 and conceding 4. However, they have not rested players in the league due to a difficult situation and lack of rotation.
The data shows no clear bias, but overall the home team has an advantage.
Primary away win, secondary home win.

10 Real Madrid VS Manchester City
This is the highlight match, but both teams have had tough times in their leagues. Overall, the home team seems more composed in lineup arrangements.
From five European matches, both teams have similar offense and defense, reflecting top-level standards. However, the home team lost to two strong opponents—Liverpool and Arsenal—both English teams, while the visitors have shown instability.
The data is neutral; both are elite teams but not at their best form.
Draw.
11 Bristol VS Leicester City
The home team ranks seventh, with two wins, one draw, and three losses in the last six matches. At home, they have one win, zero draws, two losses, scoring and conceding 5 goals each. Their performance is inconsistent, with decent defense but obstructed attack. In the last six home matches, they have three wins and three losses, scoring 8 and conceding 5.
The visitors rank fourteenth, somewhat disappointing and mediocre. Their last six matches include three wins, one draw, and two losses. Away, they have two wins, zero draws, and one loss, scoring and conceding 10 goals each. In the last six away matches, they have three wins and three losses, scoring 9 and conceding 9.
The data shows no clear bias. Considering recent form and home/away records, the home team actually has an advantage. However, the visitors’ strength means they are often overrated.
Primary home win, secondary draw.
12 Derby County VS Millwall
The home team ranks fifteenth, with three wins and three losses in the last six matches. At home, they have one win, zero draws, and two losses, scoring 10 and conceding 11, showing strong attack but weak defense. They suffered two consecutive defeats recently. In the last six home matches, they have three wins, one draw, and two losses, scoring and conceding 8 goals each.
The visitors rank third, performing quite well overall. Their last six matches include three wins, one draw, and two losses. Away, they have one win, zero draws, and two losses, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Though seemingly better than the home team, their attack and defense are inferior. In the last six away matches, they have two wins, two draws, and two losses, scoring 7 and conceding 11.
The data supports the home team, though weak, while the visitors seem more motivated, being close to second place. They recently won away at Bristol, which might boost their unstable away form.
Primary home win, secondary away win.

13 Ipswich VS Stoke
The home team ranks fourth and has started their points chase from mediocrity. In the last six matches, they have three wins, two draws, and one loss. At home, they have one win, one draw, zero losses, scoring 11 and conceding 4, showing solid offense and defense. In the last six home matches, they have three wins, two draws, and one loss, scoring 8 and conceding 5, maintaining stable home strength.
The visitors rank sixth, with two wins and four losses in the last six matches. Away, they have one win, zero draws, and two losses, scoring 8 and conceding 9. In the last six away matches, they have two wins, one draw, and three losses, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Overall, their away form against strong teams is too weak.
The data strongly supports the home team, who appear motivated.
Home win.
14 Hull City VS Rotherham
The home team ranks sixth, with two wins and four losses in the last six matches. At home, they have one win, zero draws, and two losses, scoring 9 and conceding 14, showing poor performance, especially in defense. In the last six home matches, they have three wins, one draw, and two losses, scoring 8 and conceding 10. They lost the last two home games against strong opponents, conceding six goals.
The visitors rank twelfth, with two wins and four draws in the last six matches. Away, they have zero wins, three draws, and zero losses, scoring 5 and conceding 2, showing weak attack but strong defense. In the last six away matches, they have zero wins, five draws, and one loss, scoring 3 and conceding 4.
The data shows no clear bias but gives some confidence to the home team. Recent form indicates the home side is in danger, but from home and away capabilities, the visitors lack effective scoring ability.
Primary home win, secondary draw.
