1 Celta Vigo VS Genk
The home team’s overall strength is below that of the visitors. They have four wins and one loss in five European matches, only losing 0-1 away to Roma, maintaining decent form with 12 goals scored and 5 conceded, showing good offense and defense.
The visitors have three wins, one draw, and one loss in five European games, with a draw and a loss at home and two wins away, scoring 7 and conceding 5.
The data supports the home team with a good margin; from European matches, the home side’s attacking power is strong, while the visitors’ defense is also solid. However, the data may have some inflation.
First choice home win, second choice draw
2 Nice VS Braga
The home team struggles in the league, losing all five European matches. Their opponents were relatively strong, and their schedule was tough, which also proves their weak ability to compete against strong teams. They have a goal difference of 4 scored and 12 conceded. Such results explain why fans criticize them, as their performance worsens under pressure.
The visitors have three wins, one draw, and one loss in five European games. They have not won in the last two matches, with one win and one draw away, maintaining a decent away record, scoring 9 and conceding 5.
The data favors the visitors, though not strongly. Given the home team’s current situation, it is unlikely they will improve in a short time.
Away win
3 Graz VS Red Star
The home team has one win, one draw, and three losses in five European matches, with one win and one draw at home, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their performance is not ideal, but the home results stand out somewhat, facing strong opponents like Nottingham and Rangers, showing some home strength.
The visitors have two wins, one draw, and two losses in five European games, with no wins or draws away and two losses, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their away performance is poor despite the opponents’ strength, indicating weak away resilience.
The data does not show a clear bias but slightly boosts confidence in the visitors. Both teams have similar strength, but home advantage clearly favors the home team.
First choice home win, second choice away win

4 Utrecht VS Nottingham
The home team has one draw and four losses in five European matches, performing poorly due to their level, with a goal difference of 2 scored and 7 conceded. However, they drew with Porto at home, showing very unstable form and only managing luck on home turf.
The visitors have a tough time in the Premier League, losing their underdog status from last season. Their league campaign is difficult, and juggling multiple competitions is challenging. They have two wins, two draws, and one loss in five European games, with no wins but two draws away, scoring 9 and conceding 5, showing decent form. Both draws were away.
The data strongly supports the visitors, but considering they face Tottenham this weekend, it remains to be seen how they will prioritize.
First choice away win, second choice draw
5 Young Boys VS Lille
The home team has two wins and three losses in five European matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. The visitors have three wins, no draws, and two losses, with one win and one loss away, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Overall, the visitors hold a clear advantage.
The data favors the visitors with strong support, reflecting the visitors’ considerably higher strength compared to the home team.
Away win
6 Basel VS Aston Villa
The home team has two wins and three losses in five European matches, winning both home games, scoring and conceding 7 goals each. They also challenged Stuttgart, showing strong home capability.
The visitors have started to surge in the league, winning four, drawing none, and losing one in five European games, with one win and one loss away, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Their defense is very strong, making their strength evident in the Europa League.
The data supports the visitors, but considering the relative strength of both sides, this support seems insufficient. For the visitors, the weekend league match might be more important, given the greater value of Champions League qualification.
First choice away win, second choice draw

7 Brann VS Fenerbahce
The home team has two wins, two draws, and one loss in five European matches, both wins at home, showing strong home capability. They scored 6 and conceded 3, with slightly weak offense but excellent defense.
The visitors also have two wins, two draws, and one loss in five European games, scoring and conceding 5 goals each. Away, they have one draw and one loss, showing less convincing away strength.
The data slightly favors the visitors but not strongly. Both teams’ recent attacking power is limited, while their defenses are solid.
Draw
8 Celtic VS Roma
The home team has two wins, one draw, and two losses in five European matches, with one win and one loss at home, scoring 7 and conceding 8, showing unstable performance and weak defense.
The visitors dropped from first to fourth place and have made several mistakes recently in the league, notably losing unexpectedly to Cagliari. They have three wins and two losses in five European matches, with both losses at home, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their opponents overall are slightly stronger, adding more value to their results.
The data gives slight support to the home team, though not strongly. Teams like the visitors usually prefer opponents with defensive weaknesses.
First choice away win, second choice draw
9 Celta Vigo VS Bologna
The home team recently humiliated Real Madrid in the league, boosting their confidence somewhat. They have three wins and two losses in five European matches, with two wins and no losses at home, scoring 11 and conceding 7.
The visitors have two wins, two draws, and one loss in five European games, with one win and one loss away, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their performance is steady, especially defensively.
The data shows no clear bias, but based on European performance, the visitors may find it hard to gain an advantage.
First choice draw, second choice home win

10 Freiburg VS Salzburg
The home team’s league performance is average, especially weak away, but reliable at home. They have three wins and two draws in five European matches, with both draws away, scoring 8 and conceding 3.
The visitors have one win and four losses in five European games, with no wins and two losses away, scoring 5 and conceding 10, performing worse than the home team.
The data strongly supports the home team, matching their respective performances.
Home win
11 Lyon VS Hapoel Beer Sheva
The home team has four wins and one loss in five European matches, with the loss away, scoring 11 and conceding 2, showing excellence in attack and defense, especially against weaker opponents.
The visitors have two wins and three losses in five European games, with one win and one loss away, scoring 4 and conceding 9, only winning against the weaker Panathinaikos away.
The data strongly supports the home team, consistent with their strength and European performance.
Home win
12 Panathinaikos VS Viktoria Plzen
The home team has three wins and two losses in five European matches. Of their five opponents, only Feyenoord has some strength; others are average, so they have not been truly tested. They have scored 9 and conceded 7.
The visitors have two wins and three draws in five European games, with all opponents except Malmo being strong teams. This is a commendable performance, scoring 6 and conceding 2.
The data supports the home team with considerable strength, but overall it lacks convincing power, so caution is advised.
First choice home win, second choice away win

13 Porto VS Malmo
Although the home team’s European performance is average, their overall strength far exceeds that of the visitors, and playing at home, they are unlikely to cause any trouble for themselves.
The data also gives absolute confidence.
Home win
14 Bugarie VS Feyenoord
The home team has one win and four losses in five European matches, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Except for Bologna, the other opponents are generally average, indicating the home team’s limited strength.
The visitors have one win and four losses in five European games, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their performance looks similar to the home team’s, but except for Panathinaikos, the other four opponents are tough hosts, so their schedule was quite challenging.
The data strongly supports the visitors, but overall European performance still lacks confidence.
First choice away win, second choice draw
