Issue 25186 of the Football Fourteen matches: Chelsea falters, Arsenal is too strong, Lazio beware

1 Chelsea VS Everton

The home team just completed a European fixture, losing 1-2 away to Atalanta, which will impact their stamina and morale. They currently sit fifth in the league, with a recent record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in six matches. At home, they have 1 win and 1 draw, scoring 8 goals and conceding 4. Their last three games have been winless, reflecting a downward trend. Over the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 10 and allowing 7 goals. The defeats came against Brighton and Sunderland, showing some instability.

The visiting team has shown a different form this season, currently ranked seventh and close to Champions League qualification points, so they are motivated. In their last six games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Away from home, they have 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 9 goals and conceding 5. Over their last six away matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 7.

The data heavily favors the home team, but this confidence underrates the visitors’ recent form and overlooks the home side’s fatigue, which is risky.

First match home win, second match away win

2 Burnley VS Fulham

The home team ranks nineteenth, with no wins, draws, or points in their last six matches, and at home, they have 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 13. In their last six home games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 7, showing poor performance.

The away team is fifteenth, with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Two consecutive defeats have dropped their ranking, but overall their offense and defense are better than the home team. In their last six away games, they have 1 win and 5 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their away form is very limited, but their opponents are strong.

The data supports the visiting team moderately, reflecting their better recent form compared to the home side.

First match draw, second match away win

3 Arsenal VS Wolves

The current home team is quite formidable.

Home win

4 Frankfurt VS Augsburg

The home team played a European match midweek, losing 1-2 to Barcelona, leading to fatigue. They currently rank seventh, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last six matches. At home, they have 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 9 and conceding 11, showing a decline in defense. In their last six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 9.

The visitors are fourteenth, recently beating Leverkusen 2-0 at home, boosting morale. Their last six matches include 2 wins and 4 losses. Away, they have no wins and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 13. In their last six away games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 12.

The data strongly supports the home side. Based on recent form and home/away records, the home team is clearly favored, though player injuries and fatigue will inevitably affect them as the season progresses.

First match home win, second match draw

5 Hoffenheim VS Hamburg

The home team ranks fifth and has strong hopes for European competition, so they won’t relax easily. In their last six matches, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. At home, they are unbeaten with 3 wins, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Their last six home matches show 3 wins and 3 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 10. They are currently on a three-game winning streak.

The visitors rank thirteenth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their last six away games show 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 2 and conceding 12, indicating poor away form.

The data favors the home team with a moderate margin, which seems reasonable based on recent performances.

Home win

6 Mönchengladbach VS Wolfsburg

The home team ranks tenth, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last six matches. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 11 and conceding 4, and remain unbeaten in five games. In their last six home games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 14.

The visitors rank fifteenth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their last six away games show 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8.

The data offers slight support for the home team. Considering recent offensive and defensive trends, the visitors’ defense deserves attention.

First match home win, second match draw

7 St. Pauli VS Heidenheim

The home team ranks seventeenth, with no wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses in their last six matches. At home, they have no wins, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 13. In their last six home games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 14.

The visitors rank eleventh, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 15. They are on a two-game winning streak and their form is improving. In their last six away games, they have 1 win and 5 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 15.

The data supports the home team, but given the visitors’ rising form and confidence boost, this support seems somewhat weak.

First match home win, second match away win

8 Leverkusen VS Cologne

The home team played a European match midweek, suffering from fatigue. They currently rank fourth, with several teams closely chasing them, so no room for error. Their last six matches show 3 wins and 3 losses. At home, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 8. They are on a two-game losing streak and their form is unstable. In their last six home games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 15 and conceding 4, making their home form reliable.

The visitors rank eighth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Their recent form is average. In their last six away games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 11. They lack resistance against strong teams.

The data gives moderate support to the home team, which seems fair.

Home win

9 Parma VS Lazio

The home team ranks fifteenth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six matches. At home, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 10. In their last six home games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9, showing overall weakness.

The visitors rank tenth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 4. In their last six away games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Although their attack is weak, their defense remains solid.

The data supports the visitors slightly, but not strongly, and their away performance is quite limited.

First match away win, second match home win

10 Atalanta VS Cagliari

The home team played a European match midweek, winning 2-1 at home against Chelsea. They currently rank twelfth, struggling in the league with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last six matches. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 11, a rather poor performance. In their last six home games, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 6, maintaining some home stability.

The visitors recently defeated Roma, boosting their confidence. They currently have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with no away wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 9. In their last six away games, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 8.

The data strongly favors the home team, but given the current situation, this seems somewhat dismissive of the visitors.

First match home win, second match draw

11 Mallorca VS Elche

The home team ranks seventeenth, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches. At home, they have 1 win and 2 draws without losses, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their last six home games show 2 wins and 4 draws, scoring 7 and conceding 5, showing home stability.

The visitors rank ninth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have no wins, no draws, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their last six away games show no wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 11, showing very poor away form. Typical strong home, weak away pattern.

The data supports the home team, though not strongly, but based on recent form, the home side is more reliable at their stadium.

First match home win, second match draw

12 Barcelona VS Osasuna

Home win

13 Getafe VS Espanyol

The home team ranks eighth, with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last six matches. At home, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their attack is limited, but defense is decent. In their last six home games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 5, showing solid defense.

The visitors rank fifth and have performed differently this season, with 4 wins and 2 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their last six away games show 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 6.

The data supports the home team slightly, but the margin is small, and considering both teams’ recent offense and defense, it seems rather weak.

Draw

14 Paris FC VS Toulouse

The home team ranks fourteenth, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches. At home, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 9. They lost to Lille and Rennes. In their last six home games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their home attack is decent, but their defense is lacking.

The visitors rank ninth, with 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss in their last six matches. Away, they have no wins, 2 draws, and no losses, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their last six away games show 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 8.

The data shows no clear bias but gives some confidence to the home team. However, this level of support is not necessarily beneficial for the home side.

First match home win, second match away win