1. Wolves VS West Ham
The home team drew with Manchester United last round, ending their losing streak and raising spirits.
The away team also managed a draw last round, halting a three-match losing streak.
The data does not favor either side; recent offensive and defensive stats are nearly identical, with comparable home and away strengths. The away team’s relegation threat is much higher, making this a crucial six-point clash. A draw seems insignificant for both.
First choice: home win, secondary choice: away win
2. Bournemouth VS Arsenal
In the last round, the away team won 4-1 at home against Villa, ending Villa’s eleven-match winning streak and significantly boosting confidence.
Away win
3. Genoa VS Pisa
The home team ranks seventeenth, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six matches; home record is 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 9 goals and conceded 11. They recently suffered three consecutive defeats, but all against strong opponents, which is reasonable. In their last six home games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 8, showing weak home form.
The away team is second from bottom, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in the last six matches; away record is 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scored 4 and conceded 10, showing imbalance in attack and defense. In their last six away games, they have 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 13. They draw often away but have poor defense.
The data supports the home team, but the away team’s ability to draw on the road should not be overlooked.
First choice: draw, secondary choice: home win
4. Sassuolo VS Parma
The home team is ninth, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; home record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 8 and conceded 9, showing inconsistency. In their last six home games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 8.
The away team is fifteenth, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches; away record is 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses; scored 6 and conceded 6. While their attack is limited, their defense is solid. In their last six away games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Their away strength is average, with weak offense but good defense.
The data heavily favors the home team, but this overlooks the away team’s defensive resilience and their ability to snatch points.
First choice: home win, secondary choice: away win
5. Juventus VS Lecce
The home team has been performing excellently and consistently recently. The away team’s away strength is weak, and recent performances show a clear gap between the two.
The data strongly supports the home team, and this backing is reliable.
Home win
6. Atalanta VS Roma
The home team ranks tenth, and qualifying for next season’s Champions League looks difficult. Their last six matches yielded 3 wins and 3 losses; home record is 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 7 and conceded 8, showing average performance. In their last six home games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 6, showing inconsistency.
The away team ranks fourth but their position is unstable, with Juventus closely following. Their last six matches are 3 wins and 3 losses; away record is 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 8 and conceded 6. In their last six away games, they have 3 wins and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 6, showing solid away defense.
The data supports the home team but perhaps excessively, considering both teams have shown similar recent form.
Draw
7. Osasuna VS Bilbao
The home team ranks twelfth, with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last six matches; scored 7 and conceded 6, showing average form but good offense and defense. In their last six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 8.
The away team ranks eighth, with 2 wins and 4 losses in their last six matches; away record is 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 4 and conceded 11, showing poor form. In their last six away games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 10, showing weak away performance.
The data favors the away team, but not strongly, and it does not account for the home team’s superior home form compared to the away team’s weak road record. Competing on multiple fronts is not advantageous for the away side.
Home win
8. Elche VS Villarreal
The home team ranks ninth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; home record is 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses; scored 11 and conceded 7. Their two losses were away. In their last six home games, they have 3 wins and 3 draws, scoring 12 and conceding 4, showing strong home ability.
The away team ranks fourth but their position is unstable. They have 5 wins and 1 loss in the last six matches; away record is 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses; scored 13 and conceded 5, performing excellently. In their last six away games, they have 4 wins and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their two losses were against Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, which is understandable.
The data supports the away team, but not strongly, also considering the home team’s strong home form. This is a balanced and objective view.
First choice: draw, secondary choice: away win
9. Espanyol VS Barcelona
The home team ranks fifth, with 5 wins and 1 loss in their last six matches; home record is 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 7 and conceded 4, performing very well. In their last six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 7, showing vulnerability against strong teams.
The away team ranks first, with 6 straight wins in the last six matches; away record is 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses; scored 19 and conceded 5. In their last six away games, they have 4 wins and 2 losses, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Their attack remains sharp but defense has some issues.
The data naturally favors the away team with strong support, but it also recognizes the home team’s defensive capabilities.
First choice: home win, secondary choice: draw
10. Monaco VS Lyon
The home team is ninth, with 1 win and 5 losses in the last six matches; home record is 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 3 and conceded 11, showing poor offense and defense. In their last six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their home form is decent but unstable.
The away team is fifth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; away record is 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scored 6 and conceded 4. Their two wins were at home. In their last six away games, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 7, showing mediocre away form.
The data supports the home team strongly, also considering the away team’s weak away form. Last season, the home team swept the away team with clean sheets, giving them psychological advantage.
Home win
11. Nice VS Strasbourg
The home team ranks thirteenth, with 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses in the last six matches; home record is 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 3 and conceded 14. It’s no surprise fans are upset; players are under great psychological pressure, so poor performance is understandable. In their last six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 9. They lost their last two home matches and hope to improve.
The away team ranks seventh, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last six matches; away record is 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses; scored 4 and conceded 8, also performing poorly. In their last six away games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 13. They are currently on a four-match losing streak.
The data is neutral but slightly favors the away team. Based on recent form and home/away performance, the away team has little chance to win on the road.
First choice: away win, secondary choice: home win
12. Lille VS Rennes
The home team is fourth, tied on points with third place and hopeful. Their last six matches include 5 wins and 1 loss; home record is 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses; scored 11 and conceded 7. Though their defense is somewhat weak, their attack is strong. In their last six home games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 5.
The away team is sixth, with 5 wins and 1 loss in the last six matches; away record is 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 13 and conceded 8, also performing well. However, they conceded five goals in a match against PSG, suggesting other teams may find it hard to break through their defense. In their last six away games, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 11, showing average away strength.
The data supports the home team strongly, but the away team’s away ability is somewhat inferior.
Home win
13. Amado VS Braga
The home team is tenth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; home record is 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses; scored 8 and conceded 11. In their last six home games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 6, showing solid defensive performance.
The away team is fifth, with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last six matches; away record is 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 11 and conceded 5. They have not won in their last two matches, showing some decline, but overall performance is good. In their last six away games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 6, with average away strength.
The data heavily supports the away team, but this may underestimate the home team’s solid home defense.
First choice: away win, secondary choice: draw
14. Benfica VS Estoril
Home win