1. Leeds VS Nottingham
Home team sixteen, last six matches 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses; home record 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 6, conceded 10; lost 3-4 away to Newcastle, lost 0-4 at home to Arsenal. In the last six home games, 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 10, demonstrating a certain home capability, with most goals conceded against strong opponents.
Away team seventeen, last six matches 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; away record 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 6, conceded 7; unbeaten in last four games, form improving; in last six away games, 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 8. The three wins came against relatively weak teams, lacking high value.
The data favors the home team strongly, but the recent good form of the away team must also be taken into account.
First draw, then home win
2. Charlton VS Rangers
Home team eighteen, last six matches 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; home record 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 7, conceded 9; defense is average; last six home games 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, scored 6, conceded 10; drew with league leaders and defeated Sheffield United, but defense remains weak.
Away team eleven, last six matches 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; away record 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses; scored 8, conceded 6; last round won at home against the leader; last six away games 0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, scored 4, conceded 9; away performance is quite poor.
Data shows no clear bias, but from the first leg encounter, both teams are similarly matched, with the away team showing higher efficiency.
First home win, then away win
3. Union Berlin VS Frankfurt
Home team ninth, last six matches 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses; home record 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 6, conceded 10; recent form is poor; last six home games 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses, scored 8, conceded 10; concedes many goals at home but is hard to beat.
Away team eighth, last six matches 0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses; away record 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scored 11, conceded 16; has attacking ability but weak defense; last six away games 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses, scored 11, conceded 17.
Data slightly supports the home team, but the strength of both sides recently is not impressive, though the away team's defense is notably poor.
First home win, then draw
4. Fürth VS Magdeburg
Home team eighteen, last six matches 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses; home record 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses; scored 8, conceded 10; last six home games 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses, scored 7, conceded 12; defense is weak but difficult to defeat.
Away team seventeen, last six matches 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; away record 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses; scored 13, conceded 9; fighting relegation, showing average form; lost to Hertha and Kaiserslautern; last six away games 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, scored 9, conceded 6; has decent away strength and performs well in tough matches.
Data supports the away team; based on recent form, the away side has the edge. This is a crucial match for both teams.
Away win
5. Münster VS Bochum
Home team fifteen, last six matches 0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses; home record 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scored 5, conceded 9; poor performance with weak offense and defense; last six home games 1 win, 4 draws, 1 loss, scored 7, conceded 8; home team fights hard.
Away team eighth, last six matches 2 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses; away record 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses; scored 9, conceded 6; overall good form; last six away games 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, scored 9, conceded 5; unbeaten in last five away matches.
Data shows no clear bias; both teams are competitive, but the away team shows better resilience on the road.
First draw, then away win
6. Verona VS Pisa
Home team bottom, last six matches 0 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses; home record 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses; scored 5, conceded 13; poor performance; last six home games 1 win, 0 draws, 5 losses, scored 7, conceded 13; also poor form at home.
Away team second last, last six matches 0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses; away record 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scored 7, conceded 16; last six away games 0 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses, scored 9, conceded 14.
Data favors the home team considerably, but recent form shows the away team has a stronger attack, which cannot be ignored.
First home win, then away win
7. Celta VS Osasuna
Home team seventh, last six matches 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; home record 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses; scored 9, conceded 4; last two matches without wins but overall good; the six opponents were not very strong; last six home games 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, scored 12, conceded 7; decent home ability.
Away team ninth, last six matches 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; away record 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 12, conceded 7; attack is well-executed; last six away games 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, scored 5, conceded 7; away performance is poor.
Data favors the home team strongly; considering both sides’ home and away strengths, the home team holds advantage.
Home win
8. Metz VS Lille
Home team bottom, last six matches 0 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses; home record 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 7, conceded 15; poor performance; last six home games 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses, scored 8, conceded 13; performance still weak, though two wins were against Nice and Lens, showing occasional good play.
Away team fifth, last six matches 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses; away record 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 6, conceded 13; four consecutive defeats, form low; last six away games 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses, scored 5, conceded 11; away wins mostly against weaker opponents.
Data strongly supports the home team, but this strength does not align well with the teams’ actual levels; the support is too shallow.
First away win, then home win
9. Annecy VS Grenoble
Home team eighth, last six matches 4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; home record 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 10, conceded 5; solid attack and defense; currently on a three-game winning streak; last six home games 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scored 11, conceded 4; shows strong home capability; only lost to third-place Le Mans.
Away team twelfth, last six matches 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; away record 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 6, conceded 8; inconsistent form; the two wins were against weaker teams, lacking value; last six away games 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, scored 10, conceded 11; has attacking ability but weak defense away.
Data supports the home team noticeably; based on recent form and home strength, the home side is clearly stronger than the visitors.
Home win
10. Boulogne VS Rodez
Home team thirteenth, last six matches 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; home record 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 6, conceded 8; unbeaten in last three matches; last six home games 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; scored 10, conceded 13; the three losses were against top four teams, conceding ten goals.
Away team eleven, last six matches 2 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses; away record 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses; scored 11, conceded 8; strong attack, average defense; last six away games 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses; scored 9, conceded 11; unbeaten in last three matches with good quality.
Data shows no clear bias but gives some confidence to the home team; based on recent matches and home-away strength, the away team seems slightly better.
First draw, then away win
11. Dunkerque VS Guingamp
Home team sixth, last six matches 4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; home record 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 9, conceded 5; lost last two matches but overall solid; last six home games 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; scored 8, conceded 4.
Away team seventh, last six matches 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses; away record 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 9, conceded 8; last six away games 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; scored 9, conceded 8.
Data gives slight support to the home team but not strongly; recent form and home-away strength suggest similar offense, with home team having better defense.
First home win, then away win
12. Saint-Étienne VS Pau
Home team fourth, last six matches 1 win, 4 draws, 1 loss; home record 0 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses; scored 8, conceded 6; many draws; last six home games 2 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses; scored 8, conceded 6; has certain home strength.
Away team tenth, last six matches 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; away record 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 9, conceded 10; last six away games 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; scored 6, conceded 12; away form is weak.
Data shows no clear bias; based on recent form and home-away strength, the away team’s defense will be a significant concern.
First home win, then draw
13. Lens VS Bastia
From all aspects, the home team is dominant and expected to win; however, the data offers a half to one goal handicap, which is quite shallow and lacks strong support.
First home win, then draw
14. Dareda VS Elite
Home team second last, last six matches 0 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses; home record 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; scored 8, conceded 10; last six home games 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses; scored 7, conceded 9; poor performance.
Away team thirteenth, last six matches 1 win, 4 draws, 1 loss; away record 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scored 8, conceded 11; last six away games 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses; scored 6, conceded 11.
Data strongly supports the home team, but given recent form and home-away strength, such strong backing is unconvincing. In the first leg, the home team lost but was not completely outplayed. Playing at home this time might give the home team a clearer advantage.
Home win