Arsenal's 4-point lead is not secure: Reviewing the top spot advantages after 26 Premier League rounds in the past decade, with 3 instances of losing the title

The 26th round of the Premier League concluded midweek; no league games are scheduled for this weekend due to the FA Cup fourth round. After round 26, Manchester City won while Arsenal drew, narrowing the gap between the top two in the Premier League to 4 points, leading many fans to joke that the title race is back on for Arsenal this season...

In response, Transfermarkt reviewed the point differences between the top two teams after 26 rounds in the Premier League over the past 10 seasons. Highlighted are the teams that eventually won the title. There have been 3 occasions when the leader lost the championship, including the 2022-23 season when Arsenal led Manchester City by 5 points but ultimately lost the title.

The details are as follows:

• 2016-17 season: Chelsea led Tottenham by 10 points and went on to win the title!
• 2017-18 season: Manchester City was 13 points ahead of Manchester United and secured the championship!
• 2018-19 season: Liverpool led Manchester City by 3 points but lost the title; Manchester City overtook them to become champions!
• 2019-20 season: Liverpool had a 22-point lead over Manchester City and won the league!
• 2020-21 season: Manchester City was 12 points ahead of Manchester United and claimed the title!
• 2021-22 season: Manchester City led Liverpool by 3 points and won the championship!
• 2022-23 season: Arsenal led Manchester City by 5 points but lost the title; Manchester City overtook them to become champions!
• 2023-24 season: Liverpool led Manchester City by 1 point but lost the title; Manchester City came from behind to win!
• 2024-25 season: Liverpool was 10 points ahead of Arsenal and secured the championship!
• This season (2025-26), Arsenal currently leads Manchester City by 4 points. Who do you think will win the title?