Supercomputer delivers surprising prediction for Tottenham vs Arsenal match

The Opta supercomputer has offered analysis and predictions regarding the Tottenham versus Arsenal game in the 27th round of the Premier League.

The spotlight of Premier League round 27 will definitely be on London, where Tottenham is set to host their fierce rivals Arsenal. With both teams facing different challenges, the upcoming encounter promises to be highly exciting.

Although playing at home, Tottenham is still considered the underdog compared to their opponent. Specifically, according to the supercomputer's prediction Opta, Arsenal is given up to 60.1% chance of winning, the highest among all teams playing this round. Conversely, Tottenham only has 19.3% probability of securing victory, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 20.7%.

Moreover, Mikel Arteta's squad benefits from historical support.

According to statistics from Opta, the "Gunners" have a clear advantage in recent Premier League encounters with their rivals. Specifically, they have won 6 of the last 7 meetings, drawing only once, including a streak of 4 consecutive victories. The last time Arsenal won 5 straight matches against Tottenham in the league was between January 1987 and January 1989.

When considering only matches played at Tottenham's home ground, the situation is also unfavorable for them. The team has lost 3 consecutive Premier League home games against Arsenal, equaling the total number of defeats they suffered in 23 previous home meetings, where they recorded 10 wins and 10 draws. The last time Tottenham lost 4 straight home games to their city rivals was from 1952 to 1955.

Not only dominant, Arsenal also shows impressive form in London derbies overall. Since their last defeat to Tottenham in the league in May 2022, Arsenal has lost only once in 21 away matches against other London teams in the Premier League, with 14 wins and 6 draws. Their most recent away derby loss was a 1-2 defeat to Fulham in December 2023.

On the coaching front, Mikel Arteta also boasts an impressive record in London derbies. He has secured 41 wins in 68 Premier League derby matches, achieving a 60.3% win rate, the highest among managers with at least 20 such games. Overall, only Arsene Wenger with 106 wins from 194 matches and Jose Mourinho with 42 wins from 70 matches have more derby victories than the Spanish coach.

However, Arsenal is beginning to show familiar signs at crucial moments in the title race. The Gunners dropped points in the last two Premier League rounds by drawing with Brentford and Wolves, thereby weakening their advantage in the championship fight. If they fail to take all three points from Tottenham Stadium, Arsenal risks being caught by Man City or even facing direct pressure for the top spot.

On the other hand, Tottenham’s situation is even gloomier. The "Spurs" have gone 8 matches without a win domestically, including 4 losses and 4 draws. This poor run has dropped them to 16th place in the standings and led to the departure of coach Thomas Frank.

In this context, the pressure is now on new coach Igor Tudor, who also suffered defeat in his first game in charge. A victory over Arsenal would not only help the Italian tactician ease fans’ doubts but could also provide the necessary boost for Tottenham to improve their league position.

The match between Tottenham and Arsenal is scheduled to kick off at 11:30 PM tonight (February 22).