Alcaraz has already left Djokovic far behind in data; can the "chosen one’s young duckling" defeat the "old rooster"?

At 4:30 PM Beijing time tomorrow, the much-awaited Australian Open men's singles final will headline the event. The match features world number one Alcaraz, seeking a career Grand Slam, against Melbourne’s king Djokovic, who has made ten finals and won all ten.

An exciting battle is about to begin; who is more favored? Who will set a historic record? Everything will be decided by destiny! However, after defeating Zverev, Alcaraz’s Grand Slam match wins have reached 90, approaching elite status.

What’s most surprising is that Alcaraz achieved this milestone in just 20 Grand Slam tournaments. Historically, among players’ first 20 Grand Slam appearances, Alcaraz ranks first among active players and is only behind two legendary figures, McEnroe (91) and Borg (98). Here is the detailed ranking:

Among current players, Alcaraz stands almost in a league of his own; even behind him are Djokovic and Sinner, whom he leads by nearly 30 match wins.

Djokovic edges Sinner by 5 wins. Unlike Sinner, who has maintained a pace of two titles per year since his first Grand Slam win, Djokovic only tasted his second Grand Slam title three years after his initial victory.

After Sinner, the main players born after 1995 follow: Medvedev (the only one among them with a winning rate above 50%), Berrettini, Tsitsipas, and Rublev.

Surprisingly, Frenchman Monfils is tied with German Zverev, who was once considered highly talented in his youth, yet both lag far behind Medvedev’s achievements.

Further down the list are Khachanov, Cilic, Ruud, Wawrinka, and Aliassime. Kyrgios, also regarded as highly gifted, has a win rate just over 30%, comparable to Shapovalov, Nishikori, and Paire.

Many notable players have win rates below 30%, including Dimitrov, Deminor, Busta, Hurkacz, Coric, Fritz, and Tiafoe. The two Americans’ records in this category are somewhat disappointing.

Among retired players, Borg naturally dominates the list, while Alcaraz’s stats slightly surpass those of fellow 87-win veterans Nadal and Connors. Following them are Becker, Wilander, Sampras, and Rafter.

The three career Grand Slam winners Djokovic, Agassi, and Federer appear somewhat at the lower end, but later developments have proven the saying: "It’s not the first laugh that counts, but the last one."

Djokovic holds the most Grand Slam titles, Agassi achieved the career Grand Slam most efficiently, and Federer propelled tennis forward, becoming an icon. So, what outcome will Alcaraz, who has already made history, face tomorrow?Source: Tennis Home, Author: Luo Cheng Qiye)